MissionPrevent&Protect

01 Mission

Protect service membersbefore harm escalates.

Sense earlier. Orient with evidence. Act with care. Learn and adapt.

MP2 is an independent military prevention research collaborative. We connect researchers, practitioners, clinicians, data experts, and leaders to turn responsible organizational signals into prevention systems people can use.

Human-led by design. AI can help surface patterns; people provide context, judgment, and care. Unit-level decision support only—never individual risk scores or automated decisions.

Explore the Field Lab
The human-led prevention loopSense changing conditions, orient with evidence and context, act through human care, then learn from results and adapt. 01 SENSE02 ORIENT03 ACT04 LEARN
Sense. Orient. Act. Learn.One human-led prevention loop.

01 · SenseNotice changing conditionsResponsible unit-level signals focus attention—never score a person.

02 · OrientUnderstand in contextEvidence, local knowledge, ethics, and practitioner judgment shape the response.

03 · ActDeliver human carePut supportive, nonpunitive action under a named human owner.

04 · LearnMeasure and adaptAssess results, record limits, and improve the next cycle.

02 Approach

How MP2 supports the prevention loop.

Sense. Orient. Act. Learn. One repeatable path from changing conditions to human care.

01 Sense · field questionQuestions from the fieldExperience, needs, and practical problems worth solving.Return to the mission 02 Orient · evidenceEvidence and methodsPrior findings, new studies, and responsible evaluation.Review the research
02 Orient · analysisGenerate early signalsAI-assisted · human-governedUnit-level decision support · not individual scores 02 Orient · contextLeaders + practitionersAdd context, judgment, ethics, and local knowledge.Meet the community 03 Act · human careEvidence-based human careEarlier support. Stronger protection.Build with us

Select a part of the prevention loop.

03 Research

Evidence built to be used—and challenged.

MP2 preserves public research, makes uncertainty and limits visible, and develops methods that can be tested responsibly across every military service.

Explore the public evidence base Learn how to read the methods
Two RAID-T leaders outside the Raider Brigade headquarters at Fort Carson.

Origin story · DVIDS · 2024

The Project Prevention Journey: Raider Analytics, Innovation, and Data Team (RAID-T) Efforts to Forecast and Reduce Harmful Behaviors

The work that became MP2 began with a commander confronting a surge of harmful incidents and asking how to focus scarce leader attention before the next crisis.

Historical note: “Project Prevention” was the working name used by the Army effort.

Read the source
A service member working at a laptop, the lead image for the Modern War Institute article.

Modern War Institute · 2025

Protecting Soldiers, Preventing Harmful Behaviors, and Boosting Combat Readiness—with Data

A public synthesis of unit-level signals, leader interpretation, tailored care, and organizational learning.

Read the foundational prevention article

More from the public evidence base

Models, methods, culture, and applied readiness research.

First page of the Unit Risk Forecasting Model working paper.
SSRN · 2025 Predictive modelCan We Predict Soldier Harmful Behaviors? Proposing the Unit Risk Forecasting ModelA unit-level forecasting model—not an individual risk score.Read the paper
Two service members using data tools inside a tactical command post.
Military Review · 2024 PracticeTaking a Data-Centric Approach to Unit Readiness: Leveraging Analytics in a Brigade Combat TeamAn embedded method for turning leader questions and operational data into evidence.Read the article
Service members walking onto a land-navigation course at Fort Carson.
Military Review · 2025 AssociationalWhat Can We Learn from Measuring Unit Culture? Preliminary Evidence from a Data-Centric Approach to Organizational PerformancePreliminary evidence connecting culture, leadership, cohesion, and performance.Read the article
An armored vehicle firing during a gunnery exercise.
Modern War Institute · 2026 Applied caseCan Biometric Data Make Units More Combat Ready? Yes, and this Brigade Gunnery Exercise Showed HowResponsible human-performance data for training, recovery, and leader decisions.Read the article

04 About MP2

Prevention is a team effort.

MP2 brings together researchers, practitioners, clinicians, data experts, leaders, and people with lived experience around hard prevention problems.

Our job is to connect the field, strengthen the evidence, translate what is useful, and help durable learning systems outlast any one team or tour.

Meet MP2 and see how to collaborate

01Connect the field

02Study and replicate

03Translate and test

04Build durable systems

MP2 origin briefingOur story

90-second visual briefing · source grounded

One question became a prevention mission.

See how a field problem became a cross-functional team, a responsible signal, a human response, and the idea MP2 carries forward.

Fort Carson · the field problemCould leaders see changing conditions before the next crisis?
Narrator

At Fort Carson, a commander was confronting a pattern of harmful incidents. The question was urgent and practical: could leaders see changing conditions before the next crisis?

MP2Source grounded01 / 10

ReadyAI-generated narration · human-reviewed script.

Narrator

It began with a question.

At Fort Carson, a commander was confronting a pattern of harmful incidents. The question was urgent and practical: could leaders see changing conditions before the next crisis?

Research guide

The answer was not to predict a person. It was to notice change at the unit level, then put those signals in the hands of leaders and prevention professionals who understood the context.

Narrator

The question created a coalition.

That question brought together the Raider Analytics, Innovation, and Data Team, known as RAID-T: leaders, analysts, software developers, and prevention professionals working across boundaries around one field problem.

Research guide

Four jobs became one learning system: steward the data, improve the model, design the leader-facing tool, and evaluate the whole prevention system.

Narrator

They found an organizational signal.

The public base model combined recent recorded incidents with logistic regression to estimate whether a company-sized unit would record another serious incident.

Research guide

The estimate was a prompt to look closer, not a diagnosis, an individual score, or an automatic decision. Human judgment remained in the lead.

Narrator

A signal mattered when people could act.

When a signal appeared, leaders examined local conditions and worked with prevention professionals to bring tailored support to the formation.

Research guide

The pilot evaluation suggested fewer reported incidents, but the intervention combined alerts, leader emphasis, and focused care. The evidence still needs qualification and replication.

Narrator

MP2 carries the learning forward.

MP2 carries that learning forward, from one Army formation into a joint community of researchers, practitioners, clinicians, data experts, and military leaders.

Research guide

The mission is simple: generate better signals, interpret them responsibly, act through evidence-based human care, and learn before harm escalates.

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